Guides › The Recency Bias Study
The Recency Bias Study
Why the last big move is the only one anyone remembers, measured on Bitcoin. The Fear and Greed index tracks the last 30 days at 0.70 and the next 30 at 0.13, every greed and fear reading graded, and every big month inside a bear market with what followed, including August 2026.
Reading on a phone and the guide is not showing? Open the PDF directly.
Keep exploring Bitcoin Daily
Live Bitcoin charts
17 cycle and valuation indicators, updated daily.
The Satoshi Clock
Where Bitcoin sits in its halving cycle right now.
The blog
Plain-English market breakdowns and education.
More guides
What Happened to Altseason?
Why the usual altcoin rotation has looked so different this cycle.
The Altcoin Report
Three studies, ten years of data, 276 coins. The $100 experiment, the correlation trap, and the real reason altseason never came.
How Correlated Are Altcoins to Bitcoin?
Every big alt scored in calm markets versus crashes, the live drawdowns, and why a bag of alts behaves like one leveraged Bitcoin bet.
Want the live layer?
These guides are free. Inside the community you get the daily desk note, alerts, and the tools running on your own charts.
Join the Community