Guides › The First Pullback Study
The First Pullback Study
Missed Bitcoin at $57,735? Every rally of 40% or more since 2012, 70 rallies and 70 pullbacks, and every rally and pullback after the 2015, 2018 and 2022 bottoms measured leg by leg. The first pullback after each bottom at -40%, -20% and -23%, the calm runs, big quarters and open candles, the 2026 level map with the pullback zone and the $57,735 line, and all 19 times Bitcoin broke its last lower high in a bear.
Reading on a phone and the guide is not showing? Open the PDF directly.
Keep exploring Bitcoin Daily
Live Bitcoin charts
17 cycle and valuation indicators, updated daily.
The Satoshi Clock
Where Bitcoin sits in its halving cycle right now.
The blog
Plain-English market breakdowns and education.
More guides
The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Cheat Sheet
All 9 rainbow bands explained, what the chart gets right and wrong, and how to use it as a mood ring, not a trading signal.
How to Spot a Bitcoin Bottom
The on-chain and price signals that have clustered around every past cycle low.
The Bitcoin Cycle Field Guide
A plain-English map of the four-year cycle: the phases, the signals, and where we are now.
Want the live layer?
These guides are free. Inside the community you get the daily desk note, alerts, and the tools running on your own charts.
Join the Community