Bitcoin Bottom Zone (Live Chart)
Every Bitcoin cycle low has printed inside the same band near the bottom of the power law. This chart draws that zone, marks where the past lows landed, and adds the halving-clock window that says when the next one is due.
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Price and the power-law fair-value line on a log-log scale, with the green accumulation zone every cycle low has printed inside, the support edge, the past bottoms as teal dots, and the projected bottom inside the 2026 halving window.
Drag across the chart to zoom into any span. Reset zoom to go back.
This is a where-and-when map, not a promise. The bottom timing is the weaker half, because how long a bear market lasts is partly random, so trust the price zone more than the exact calendar. The projected bottom is the median of only three past lows. For the full model behind this line see the Satoshi Clock, and for the trend line on its own see the Power Law chart.
A cycle bottom is really two questions. Where will the price be, and when will it happen. This chart answers both from the same power law that runs through Bitcoin's entire history. The green band is the where. Every past cycle low, in 2015, 2018 and 2022, printed inside it, down near the support edge of the corridor. When price sinks into that green zone it has historically been in the range where bottoms form.
The when comes from the halving clock. Bitcoin's lows have landed a fairly consistent number of days after each cycle top, and that points at an October to November 2026 window for this cycle. That window is shaded on the right of the chart. The orange marker inside it is the projected bottom, taken from where the middle of the three past lows sat on the power law and carried forward to that date.
The honest rule is that both halves have to agree. A bottom is only confirmed when the price is in the zone AND the clock is in the window. Today the price is already in the zone, but the window has not opened yet, so the bottom is not in. The timing half is also the weaker one, and the projected level is a median of just three cycles, so treat this as a calibrated map of roughly where and when, not a precise call.
The charts are public. The read is the edge.
These indicators are free for everyone. Inside the community you get the daily desk note that ties them together, alerts when price enters a cycle window, and the Satoshi Clock running on your own charts.
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