Bitcoin Volatility (Live Chart)
How wildly Bitcoin has been swinging, annualized. The striking story is the long-run downtrend as the asset grows up.
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Annualized realized volatility over 30 and 90 days on the left axis, with BTC price overlaid on the right (log).
Drag across the chart to zoom into any span. Reset zoom to go back.
Volatility is measured, not predicted. Spikes cluster around crashes and blow-off tops, and the calm stretches have sometimes preceded the biggest moves, so low volatility is not the same as safety.
Volatility measures how much Bitcoin's price bounces around, and here it is annualized so the numbers are comparable to stocks and other assets. A reading of 60 percent means that, at the recent pace of daily moves, a year's worth of swing works out to roughly sixty percent.
The headline is the long decline. In its early years Bitcoin routinely ran at volatility of well over a hundred percent. Cycle by cycle those readings have stepped down as the asset has grown from a few billion dollars into the trillions, which simply takes more money to move.
That falling volatility is the same maturation thread that runs through these charts. It does not mean the ride is smooth. Bitcoin is still far more volatile than most assets, and the quietest stretches have often come right before the largest moves in either direction.
The charts are public. The read is the edge.
These indicators are free for everyone. Inside the community you get the daily desk note that ties them together, alerts when price enters a cycle window, and the Satoshi Clock running on your own charts.
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